Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.014440 0.017836 0.022207 0.028404 0.037240 0.049863 0.070244
2025-02-09 0.010370 0.014040 0.019455 0.028539 0.044616 0.074951 0.147200
2025-02-16 0.008363 0.011979 0.017799 0.028752 0.051548 0.106051 0.300309
2025-02-23 0.007055 0.010518 0.016457 0.028667 0.057716 0.144091 0.631166
2025-03-02 0.005966 0.009134 0.014805 0.027210 0.059803 0.175631 1.221043
2025-03-09 0.005239 0.008213 0.013746 0.026567 0.063672 0.223052 2.989815
2025-03-16 0.004787 0.007691 0.013314 0.027178 0.071943 0.315838 15.384684
2025-03-23 0.004377 0.007170 0.012762 0.027285 0.078926 0.434743 425.423830
2025-03-30 0.003932 0.006520 0.011806 0.025993 0.079735 0.518523 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003601 0.006046 0.011148 0.025329 0.082927 0.659801 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003408 0.005820 0.011000 0.026117 0.094034 1.045822 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003307 0.005762 0.011228 0.028185 0.115298 2.227107 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003179 0.005667 0.011431 0.030629 0.147267 7.543411 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002958 0.005347 0.011021 0.030798 0.165571 23.694166 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002769 0.005070 0.010664 0.031035 0.187001 168.185915 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002592 0.004798 0.010266 0.030941 0.206889 235585.854546 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002388 0.004441 0.009577 0.029325 0.205904 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002234 0.004185 0.009126 0.028613 0.216601 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002136 0.004046 0.008986 0.029289 0.252450 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002032 0.003883 0.008747 0.029408 0.282779 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001900 0.003640 0.008239 0.027977 0.279084 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001796 0.003458 0.007887 0.027243 0.289746 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.001738 0.003379 0.007839 0.028115 0.346849 NaN NaN